Cross-Species Cardiac Prediction

From Animal Model Data to Human Cardiac Prediction – Without Refitting

The core challenge after every preclinical study:

Rodents express predominantly α-MHC (fast myosin). Humans express predominantly β-MHC (slow myosin).

A drug that reduces contractility by 30% in a rat will not produce the same 30% effect in humans because the kinetic parameters of the myosin motor are fundamentally different. Not just quantitatively, but mechanistically.

Standard CRO animal studies cannot account for this difference.

Myosin isoform composition by species:

  • Mouse — α-MHC: ~100%; β-MHC: ~0%
  • Rat — α-MHC: ~75%; β-MHC: ~25%
  • Human — α-MHC: ~5%; β-MHC: ~95%

How MUSICO handles this:

1
Species-specific parameter sets for each myosin isoform, validated experimentally across four species.
2
No refitting between species. Same physics, different isoform parameters.
3
Validated against blinded held-out cross-species data.
4
Directly answers: what will this drug do in a human heart, given this rat study?

Reference:
Prodanovic et al., Int J Mol Sci 23(3):1135, 2022

 MUSICO-predicted twitch tension transients (top) and sarcomere length changes (bottom) for mouse, rat, and human cardiac trabeculae, compared against experimental data (dashed lines).
 Intracellular calcium transients ([Ca²⁺] vs. time) used as inputs to the MUSICO cross-species simulations for mouse, rat, and human ventricular cardiomyocytes. The marked differences in peak amplitude and transient duration reflect the species-specific physiological heart rates and calcium handling, and together with myosin isoform composition, drive the distinct twitch characteristics of each species.